Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 15.312039 17.782578 20.466296 23.590665 27.120246 30.976047 35.498782
2025-08-24 10.770406 14.055367 17.983791 22.991660 29.165819 36.486242 45.775743
2025-08-31 7.924086 11.377210 15.839545 21.948898 30.003699 40.158787 53.812038
2025-09-07 6.560422 10.192890 15.193402 22.441751 32.514650 45.829579 64.533554
2025-09-14 5.558938 9.267613 14.666200 22.889265 34.842487 51.285815 75.242822
2025-09-21 4.582282 8.177143 13.696647 22.505210 35.855002 54.902661 83.586855
2025-09-28 3.765810 7.177254 12.689468 21.882200 36.366224 57.738960 90.909356
2025-10-05 3.530778 7.092358 13.084313 23.426704 40.218674 65.642643 106.013115
2025-10-12 3.270354 6.913445 13.285827 24.651552 43.635706 73.079736 120.838771
2025-10-19 2.901470 6.470506 12.970829 24.961999 45.577093 78.337822 132.622100
2025-10-26 2.565319 6.030866 12.597331 25.112167 47.231242 83.205019 144.027333
2025-11-02 2.212621 5.494842 11.972463 24.735255 47.931674 86.542468 153.146754
2025-11-09 1.862170 4.923898 11.251770 24.192611 48.453032 89.878274 162.922536
2025-11-16 1.547924 4.373681 10.502767 23.528972 48.735915 92.905136 172.527254
2025-11-23 1.252585 3.798086 9.607046 22.456636 48.145203 94.360157 179.552454
2025-11-30 1.123646 3.605291 9.501132 22.957873 50.548629 101.202353 196.186126
2025-12-07 1.008134 3.420887 9.383847 23.414026 52.888869 108.060996 213.212676
2025-12-14 0.857579 3.102116 8.902463 23.022301 53.496586 111.770616 224.829026
2025-12-21 0.717517 2.775509 8.345724 22.386874 53.533639 114.390614 234.587731
2025-12-28 0.700555 2.824371 8.737679 23.962056 58.294672 126.245584 261.887152
2026-01-04 0.668326 2.816704 8.981261 25.211041 62.450354 137.153601 287.934848
2026-01-11 0.600859 2.673712 8.842907 25.527580 64.611854 144.282836 307.216101
2026-01-18 0.535338 2.519271 8.648124 25.680691 66.418534 150.800142 325.635072